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Playing: Card Distribution

Playing the odds

Knowing how many cards the opponants have qill help in planning the play.

You hold a combined 9 cards in declarers hand and dummies hand that means there are only 4 cards missing. How do these break?

it could be any of these 2-2, 1-3, 0-4. But the most likely is 1-3. Knowing this can help in deciding how to play


In general: An ODD number of missing cards will tend to break evenly -- if you are missing 5 cards in a suit, they will divide 3-2 more often than 4-1.

An EVEN number of missing cards will tend to break UNevenly -- if you are missing 6 cards in a suit, they will divide 4-2 more often than 3-3.

The table below shows the most likely distribution of the cards.


Number of Cards

Distribution

Odds

2
1-1
52%
2-0
48%
3
2-1
78%
3-0
22.0%
4
3-1
49.7%
2-2
40.7%
4-0
9.6%
5
3-2
67.8%
4-1
28.3%
5-0
3.9%
6
4-2
48.5%
3-3
35.5%
5-1
14.5%
6-0
1.5%
7
4-3
62.2%
5-2
30.5%
6-1
6.8%
7-0
0.5%
8
5-3
47.1%
4-4
32.7%
6-2
17.1%
7-1
2.9%
8-0
0.2%

For a more detailed analysis see > Bridge declarer play -- playing the odds


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© Mary Vale 2009
Learn to play bridge